Testicular cancer incidence to rise by 25% by 2025 in Europe? Model-based predictions in 40 countries using population-based registry data.

A paper led by scientists of the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) published in the European Journal of Cancer predicts there will be 23,000 new cases of testicular cancer annually in Europe by 2025, a rise of 24% from 2005. The predictions are based on an extrapolation of recent trends in recorded incidence from high-quality population-based cancer registries in Europe using age-period-cohort models.

While testicular cancer incidence rates are increasing in most countries, signs of a transition are apparent, with stabilising rates in certain high-risk countries in Northern and Western Europe (Denmark, Germany, Austria, Switzerland and England) offset by rapid increases in incidence rates in a number of Southern European countries, including Croatia, Slovenia, Italy and Spain. The authors predict that around one in 100 men may be diagnosed with the disease annually in the highest risk countries of Europe (Croatia, Slovenia and Norway) circa 2025. The article aims to support the planning of services and prioritisation of the necessary resources in European countries, ensuring equitable management and provision of care for testicular cancer patients in the future.

Le Cornet C, Lortet-Tieulent J, Forman D, Béranger R, Flechon A, Fervers B, Schüz J, Bray F.
Testicular cancer incidence to rise by 25% by 2025 in Europe? Model-based predictions in 40 countries using population-based registry data.
Eur J Cancer. 2013 Dec 23. pii: S0959-8049(13)01054-X. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2013.11.035. [Epub ahead of print]
Read article at EJC websiteScience Direct